Cyclone question

 Normally Cyclones travel from east to west , yet the new one that’s just formed off the NT coast is predicted to track west to east . Why is this so ? . I’ve scoured the net and I’m not having any joy finding an answer , this is one for the Fishwrecked brains trust to enlighten me . Thanks people 

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 My wife understands why I clean my rods n reels in the shower....

 


carnarvonite's picture

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Jet Stream

Thu, 2018-03-22 06:12

As the cyclone curves south it comes under the increasing influence of the west to east jet stream causing it to change direction and head in a S easterly heading.

Tom M's picture

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Date Joined: 22/09/15

 Nothing normal about

Thu, 2018-03-22 07:36

 Nothing normal about cyclones they are unpredictable as history shows. I developed cyclone procedures fpr major mining companies some years ago and studied a huge amount of history and came to realise you will get a 2-3 day window in predicting direction at best. I thought what was amazing with all the history is that more cat 5 cyclones have passed over the Onslow area than anywhere in the world.  Great place to build an LNG facility.

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Tom M

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Recently read up myself

Thu, 2018-03-22 08:28

Apparently if there is no jet streams or high/ low pressures to steer the cyclone it becomes like a spinning top which can go in any direction.

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Date Joined: 19/06/14

Thanks guys .

Thu, 2018-03-22 13:56

 Awesome , I think I’m going to do some further research into this one . Very interesting 

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 My wife understands why I clean my rods n reels in the shower....

 

justdhuit's picture

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Date Joined: 09/01/18

Dont trust it

Thu, 2018-03-22 19:11

I pulled my pots out of the water today don't like the looks of this one it is one powerful storm system good numbers of roaches around at the moment too..

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Fish like no Tomorrow

Yarzi's picture

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Date Joined: 14/02/12

Main factors at the moment

Sat, 2018-03-24 05:32

 Bom has loads of info and goes into good detail.

Im currently off Broome and have been out here for almost all the cyclones in the last 3 months.

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the major fluctuation in tropical weather on weekly to monthly timescales. The MJO can be characterised as an eastward moving 'pulse' of cloud and rainfall near the equator that typically recurs every 30 to 60 days.

 Equatorial Rossby wave activity, which was likely the most significant tropical wave associated with tropical cyclone Marcus, remains present across northern Australia. In its current location, the Rossby wave, a westward moving tropical pulse of low pressure, is reinforcing cross-equatorial flow into Australian longitudes and provides favourable conditions for enhanced tropical convection and tropical cyclone formation in the region.

Lastly this year we are having a mild La-Nina = warmer water temps = above average cyclones for the season.

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 Why do people buy s#*t they dont need to impress people they don't like!

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Oz Cylone Chasers

Sat, 2018-03-24 09:42

Check out the video blogs on this site - https://www.ozcyclonechasers.com.au/

This should answer all your questions.

The blog from the 19 March gave some interesting scenarios depending on where the cyclone actually formed, and in hindsight are remarkably accurate.

ranmar850's picture

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Swell making up here today

Sat, 2018-03-24 18:27

 getting up over 2m by tonight. overcast, muggy, and no wind.

 

 

 

sea-kem's picture

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 That's a fairly decent pic

Sat, 2018-03-24 18:44

 That's a fairly decent pic Ranmar

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Love the West!

Moking's picture

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  I agree- Nice pic. Brings

Sun, 2018-03-25 08:56

  I agree- Nice pic. Brings back great memories of catching big tailor on the Jetski, in that area last year.

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 My Dad taught me how to Fish-Thanks Dad.(RIP)

ranmar850's picture

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My wife snapped that on her phone

Sat, 2018-03-24 19:50

 when we were walking the dogs before dinner, I hope no-one plans to go fishing tomorrow.  VMR put their RIB in the water,  ready for use before lunch today.

Dale's picture

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Sat, 2018-03-24 19:52

 Almost makes me want to break out the board, if I still had one.

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