Next tropical low

 Anyone got any thoughts on this next low possibly forming in the gulf of Carpentaria then possibly heading Broome way?


Adam Gallash's picture

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Inland

Thu, 2020-02-20 19:17

Looks to be going inland on the advanced models ive seen, hopefully no more this season. One good one was enough.

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 Looking at it on windy I

Thu, 2020-02-20 19:24

 Looking at it on windy I think it's pretty optimistic. Big call travelling that far cross country without running out of puff. I'd like to see it travel a bit higher as a low and give the daly catchment a good soak. They need a good wet and will help the classic and nationals out a bit. 

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Does anyone know where the love of god goes, when the waves turn the minutes to hours?

Dale's picture

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Thu, 2020-02-20 20:29

Windy showing some at the end of the month, if it’s true, then it will probably go cyclonic.

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Terry's picture

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Storm

Fri, 2020-02-21 09:04

 

Tropical Cyclone Outlook

IDD10610

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Thursday 20 February 2020
for the period until midnight CST Sunday 23 February 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

 

A broad area of low pressure lies over the northern Gulf of Carpentaria as a monsoon trough develops. A tropical low is likely to form within the monsoon trough overnight tonight or on Friday as a westerly surge develops through the Arafura Sea. During the weekend, the tropical low is expected to develop quickly with an increasing risk of tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf of Carpentaria from later on Saturday or early Sunday. Initial movement of the tropical low will likely be slow and erratic before moving in a general south to southwest direction towards southwestern parts of the Gulf of Carpentaria later in the weekend.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Friday:
Very Low.
Saturday:
Moderate.
Sunday:
High.
Doc's picture

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 This one in Qld is brewing,

Sun, 2020-02-23 12:24

 This one in Qld is brewing, we've left Burketown where we've been hunkered down for a week, but they're forecasting some winds for here. Currently parked up at the Gulfland caravan park in Normanton. Good protection from the wind here.

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 Bit of rain to come and see

Sun, 2020-02-23 17:35

 Bit of rain to come and see where it travels... hopefully  over the Fitzroy river catchment for us up here and that will do for the year.

carnarvonite's picture

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Watching carefully.

Sun, 2020-02-23 19:01

 Those on the Gascoyne river will be watching it very carefully as the river is running at about 2 plus metres from Cyclone Damian and any more heavy rainfall inland will raise the levels very quickly.

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 Could be interesting for the

Mon, 2020-02-24 08:23

 Could be interesting for the Gascoyne river if it does cross south of Karratha. Pretty sure Karratha dosnt want it. 

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 Karratha has no interest in

Mon, 2020-02-24 08:32

 Karratha has no interest in it. Still got damage all over town from the last one. 

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Does anyone know where the love of god goes, when the waves turn the minutes to hours?

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 Looks like I might be

Mon, 2020-02-24 15:22

 Looks like I might be driving down to clean up a couple of trees that copped a flogging. Price I got pre cyclone was f#$king rude to say the least, probably double now.

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If there is another one too

Fri, 2020-02-28 16:28

If there is another one too soon I am leaving town.  It doesn't look like there is anything developing at the moment though.

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 Has done us a favour by

Mon, 2020-03-02 08:18

 Has done us a favour by dumping a shitload of rain on the Fitzroy river catchment on it's way over and on its way back. should get the flush out it needed. 

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Kimberleys

Mon, 2020-03-02 15:55

 Getting a good wash. Seen some pics from around Kununurra Hidden Valley falls flowing.

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 Pretty well everything is

Mon, 2020-03-02 16:43

 Pretty well everything is flowing. good year to do the Gibb River Road for anyone that is keen. Everything will be pumping through there for a fair while.

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 im going next year so please

Mon, 2020-03-02 20:02

 im going next year so please keep it coming

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BM294

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 gillyL the roads vary from

Tue, 2020-03-03 06:30

 gillyL the roads vary from year to year depending on rainfall , I suspect with the amount of rain through the gibb this year it will be a late start to access places like Mitchel Plateau but will be worth the wait, next year could be totally different.

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 how are the roads looking up

Mon, 2020-03-02 20:00

 how are the roads looking up that way, im guessing they are likely to get flooded

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 Derby to Halls Creek is

Tue, 2020-03-03 06:42

 Derby to Halls Creek is closed and would think it will be for a few days yet. A lot of water feeding into the river at the moment