heads up karratha cyclone headin your way (apparently)

hey guys just thought I'd give the guys in Karratha a heads up. I'm currently on the hermod a Dutch crane barge working on the North Rankin B jacket instulation we have been on cyclone watch the last 2 days and as of midnight last night We have now pulled all 10 anchors and are sailing sw at a rate of 5 knts (perfect trolling speed). We've all looked at BOM forecasts and cant see that its going to come close to us but Woodside made the call to start moving and at a cost of $1.5 million dollars a day for the hermod and us to be out here it must be a pretty sure thing. Apparently the forecaser that woodside pays big $$$$ too has checcked his models and predicts the cyclone to be around cat4 and heading straight over Rankin and heading for K town. Hope its not right for the guys in Ktowns sake but kinda hope it hangs around out here for a while wouldnt mind watching dvds and playing chess for the next 16 days beats welding in this heat and humidity. On another note has anyone got any suggestions for making some lures we are thinking about getting some spoons from the kitchen welding a few together maybe a few fraid strands of rope and making some sort of hook and tieng it too some scaff wire and 10mm rope surely wed get a mak attack or two.

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thats a photo taken off

Mon, 2012-01-23 13:48

thats a photo taken off rankin A off the NRB jacket and the mighty hermod

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hang on thats the pictures

Mon, 2012-01-23 13:50

hang on thats the pictures from my time lapse camera i installed! good to see it's still working though a cyclone may change that! enjoy the chess it's gonna be an interesting week that's for sure

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Is it shit u could of told me

Mon, 2012-01-23 13:52

Is it shit u could of told me they had cameras :-) its a great shot

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all the experts will have a

Mon, 2012-01-23 13:59

all the experts will have a go at me for no centering the shot but it's a bit hard with a bloody crane in the way, it was fun sending a workboat around simulating the jacket position and just really hoping for the best. We are watching you contractors so no slacking off, enjoy the cruise

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Thanks For the heads up!

Mon, 2012-01-23 14:04

 Thanks Biggerfish for the info. Very cool photo! If you are heading SouthWest- where are you headed?

Any more info from you or anyone who has access to anything other than BOM would be great!  

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not really headin anywhere

Mon, 2012-01-23 14:23

not really headin anywhere darrin we are just heading away from the cyclones predicted path and into deeper water

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check out

Mon, 2012-01-23 14:12

check out www.ozcyclonechasers.com they have interesting videos explaining what each forcast model suggests and explains how it all kicks off etc, very informative i have found.

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http://www.bom.gov.au/austral

Mon, 2012-01-23 14:27

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-thick&tz=UTC&area=TR&model=T

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Cool Site Brucesta!

Mon, 2012-01-23 14:32

 Thanks for that- heaps of info and really interesting! We will keep following any updates.

 

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 What are you doing out hear

Mon, 2012-01-23 18:00

 What are you doing out hear mate?? I'm a rigger

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im a welder mate are u out

Tue, 2012-01-24 12:19

im a welder mate are u out here now im on night I'm guessing your nightshift

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Working hard or hardly working

Tue, 2012-01-24 12:36

 reece, you will find biggerfish in the repair bay.. 

 You still taking the piss on that thing biggerfish, nothings changed.

Brucesta,

the time laps camera's didnt work too well with the jacket install....woodside missed the money shot with that one. You tube saved the day.

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yeah brok maybe if we had a

Tue, 2012-01-24 14:48

yeah brok maybe if we had a repair bay acctually maybe if we had of welded anything worth testing still heaps of work for the welders out here we havent even started what we came here to do

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Brock O the cameras was the

Tue, 2012-01-24 15:39

Brock O the cameras was the biggest rush job ever thats for sure, what a shambles that one was, i got 2 days notice before getting the job.

 

Seems south wasn't the direction to head fella's seems it's heading south towards the NW cape and down the coast and away from there, a wet weekend but no tie down for Karratha it seems, only fair too i don't want another red alert on Oz Day and not scoring a day off.

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 latest charts show it back

Tue, 2012-01-24 16:37

 latest charts show it back to Exmouth again... dam like a wonky donkey these predictions!

www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

 

 

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Looks like it's going to slip

Tue, 2012-01-24 19:11

Looks like it's going to slip away west of us here in K-Town. Didn't get an update from Pluto this afternoon, so maybe they think it's not going to affect us apart from maybe some wind and rain on Friday and Saturday.

 

Cheers

Dale

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 they are de-manning NRA

Tue, 2012-01-24 19:39

 they are de-manning NRA completely was what i heard today, they all the sudden wanted to control the platform from the beach, yeah sure that's easy!! NOT!!!!!

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Yeah, they said that they

Tue, 2012-01-24 21:00

Yeah, they said that they were getting people off some platforms at our meeting with FWW today, but Pluto was still working.

 

Cheers

Dale

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Hmm

Wed, 2012-01-25 16:59

Time to prepare me thinks.

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 No commenting on the weather

Wed, 2012-01-25 18:18

 No commenting on the weather you   What shits me is the mongrel was heading happily offshore till it decide to turn around and completely screw up our planned camping trip to long island, last weekend without kids at home too . . . . though looking at this they may not be flying sunday . . .

 

  Map of wind speed and direction

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These boys/girls CAT 3-4

Wed, 2012-01-25 19:46

These boys/girls CAT 3-4 Getting close to Exxy on Sunday. But then heading back out like a drunk driver on Oz day!!

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Not even a cyclone yet

Wed, 2012-01-25 21:17

Not evem a cyclone yet, and still has not turned at at all.

Still might just hit the cold water and fizzel out.

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Read the captions ontop of the maps

Thu, 2012-01-26 09:38

Its an advance forecast page, not a map of today.

Just advising, not picking.

Neels

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Cyclone

Thu, 2012-01-26 07:23

Cyclone Iggy

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml
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its meant to slide down the coast

Thu, 2012-01-26 07:53

but we may get a fair bit of rain with it!!

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Hopefully

Thu, 2012-01-26 08:09

it does the same as TC Bianca and we get another once in 50yr swell

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Bugger the swell Matt

Thu, 2012-01-26 13:34

I want to go fishing and the deckie doesnt do well with swell, but can cop any sea chop.

 

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Adds

Thu, 2012-01-26 12:35

You and the CB and other Exxy boys and gals better batton down the hatches. Severe TC IMO when it hit near you guys.

 

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We've gone into tie down here

Thu, 2012-01-26 13:21

We've gone into tie down here at Gap Ridge Village and Pluto, wind and rain are starting to build up, but that's more so from the monsoonal low that's just above us at present. Should be good for 50mm - 70mm. Hang on tight Exmouth, that's going to be a big one.

 

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Dale

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We are not quite out of the eye of the storm yet

Thu, 2012-01-26 13:32

Wonder how much in advance Rio and Woodies get their info. Friend emailed me that pic from Woodies site.

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that is the same pic we got emailed at 12pm

Thu, 2012-01-26 14:22

but according to the longer term forecast once it hits cat four it will change course to the south west and slide down the coast weakening as it goes! that info is off the riotinto website

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 Yeah looks f#$%^*g nasty :-(

Thu, 2012-01-26 13:27

 Yeah looks f#$%^*g nasty :-( glad the boat has a shed to live in this year . . .

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http://www.ozcyclonechasers.c

Thu, 2012-01-26 13:50

http://www.ozcyclonechasers.com/

 

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At Barrow at the moment,

Thu, 2012-01-26 15:14

At Barrow at the moment, Chevron SSU site has it heading straight for Thevenard in 72 hours time, be interesting to see if it does turn and head SW or continue it's track for a coastal crossing. Things might get interesting out here...

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Jay

Thu, 2012-01-26 15:30

I think you should duck your head. Where have you been lately. Time for a Pilbara beer O'clock again I think.

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Not in Karratha any more

Fri, 2012-01-27 09:15

Not in Karratha any more Neels!

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from the US navy site

Thu, 2012-01-26 15:37

it has it turning 90 degrees and following the coast down!

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh0912.gif

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We are or were going

Thu, 2012-01-26 15:53

To steeppoint ???? On saturday Hows our chances now [[[[ Nil ]]]]]

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at least you wont need bait sherbs

Thu, 2012-01-26 17:44

with the big swell they are forecasting you can just pick your fish off the rocks as the get washed up!

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absolutely bucketing down on

Fri, 2012-01-27 09:13

absolutely bucketing down on Barrow at the moment!

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todays 9 am update

Fri, 2012-01-27 10:40

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Trying hard to rain here at

Fri, 2012-01-27 15:31

Trying hard to rain here at GRV in K-town, had a bit of drizzle, but that's about it. Still a bit of wind from the east.

 

Cheers

Dale

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ECMWF

Fri, 2012-01-27 16:06

Advanced  forecasting site has a forecast of a coastal impact. ?where. This is for Monday.

 

And then sort of hanging around like a fouls smell.

 

 

 

Sorry Exxy I think your in for a big and prolonged blow with the Popstar Iggy.

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Been pissing down on

Fri, 2012-01-27 19:43

Been pissing down on Barrow... wind up around 40 knots

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same in here

Fri, 2012-01-27 20:20

with the wind!! no rain as yet!!

http://28storms.com/cyclone/ great site has a ten min video explaining all the models

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9pm update look out exxy

Fri, 2012-01-27 21:16

cat 4 straight over the top of you!

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might not cross at all

Sat, 2012-01-28 09:20

 

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9am

Sat, 2012-01-28 10:29

Major change from the 6am update. So far we've had 81mm on Barrow in the 24 hours to 9am. 121mm at Varanus.

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Yup

Sat, 2012-01-28 10:32

Looking good, can keep going out to sea as far as I'm concerned.  Might be just what Canarvon needs, a cyclone on top of the bushfires and the floods last year...

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Will still cop a pretty good

Sat, 2012-01-28 10:37

Will still cop a pretty good hiding if it continues on that track Adsy, I'm hoping it stays clear - really don't want the reef to cop it.

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 Plenty of rain I think,

Sat, 2012-01-28 13:50

 Plenty of rain I think, might not be screwing a roof down monday like I planned but it wont be long after that

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out she goes

Sat, 2012-01-28 15:25

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Tony Halliday's picture

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 not anymore lol...these dam

Wed, 2012-02-01 09:24

 not anymore lol...

these dam interactive links can come back to haunt you...lol 

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 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

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Yeah that would be right

Sat, 2012-01-28 16:10

 I wasnt going to start packing things up until yellow, but with the advice of local word, i did most of it today. Hope all that work wasnt for nothing.

The waters stirred up, everythings packed up, the boats in the shed, better get something out of it, cause i think the water will be dirty for a while so fishing is out !

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Dale's picture

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All clear announced here at

Sat, 2012-01-28 17:59

All clear announced here at GRV in K-Town at 15:30.

 

Cheers

Dale

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they flew us out from mesa a

Sun, 2012-01-29 08:44

yesterday arvo! so a few extra days off for nothing! think it was more to do with the flood warning than the cyclone in the end

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bugger all rain at mardie

Sun, 2012-01-29 10:29

They keep predicting bulk rain for us, so far pitiful and now the sun is out. I guess there's still a chance.

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Iggy is staggering around

Sun, 2012-01-29 15:27

Iggy is staggering around like he's totally pissed. Can go a straight line if he wanted to.

 

Cheers

Dale

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We've spent the whole day

Sun, 2012-01-29 15:31

We've spent the whole day getting everything back online here at Barrow, after spending all day yesterday shutting everything in

In the end didn't end up getting any time off and just caused a lot of headaches!

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Howdy Jay, yeah I know what

Sun, 2012-01-29 17:56

Howdy Jay, yeah I know what you mean. We've gone into tie down twice in the last few weeks and everyone runs around doing heaps of stuff for no result, then spent all day today undoing everything and putting it all back.

 

Cheers

Dale

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Tony Halliday's picture

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 Hell this one was a pissed

Mon, 2012-01-30 08:16

 Hell this one was a pissed as koot on a summer's binge 

 

three different sites had three different paths for it... who knows hwere Iggy is going to end up lol

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Tony Halliday's picture

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 Well Iggy is back up to a

Wed, 2012-02-01 09:21

 Well Iggy is back up to a Cat2 again!!!

and with tons of warm water off the coast, it could still hit us between Geraldton and Perth as a Cat1....

Watch my words folks... it's coming south for a "ello big smoke"

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

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yep fair chance it will make

Wed, 2012-02-01 11:38

yep fair chance it will make land between gero and perth at Still cat 1 rating..

Tony Halliday's picture

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 just got an update on water

Wed, 2012-02-01 13:13

 just got an update on water temps....

24.9 deg seen 15miles out from Tow Rocks in last 24hrs... WTF are now in the tropics????

This Iggy whirly could just grow some more !!!! and track even further south!!!

time to go check mooring ropes at the pen and maybe adda few extra for safety!!!

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

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i wonder

Wed, 2012-02-01 12:57

 how many punters are dusting of the snapper gear hahahaha

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Fisherman 1992 is drooling

Wed, 2012-02-01 13:38

bring it on. 

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Was thinking precisely the same thing!!!

Wed, 2012-02-01 13:47

LMAO at him previous, and still.

Neels

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Bodie's picture

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now suggesting coming in at

Thu, 2012-02-02 09:00

now suggesting coming in at Jurien!! getting lower every few hours!!

 

Only downgraded to a low just offshore, I'd still suspect its making land as a cat 1!

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funny Seabreeze only showing

Thu, 2012-02-02 09:06

funny Seabreeze only showing winds of 25 knots at Lancilen on Friday, and southerlies!....would have expected stronger winds.

bom radar is showing most rain going south of Perth too, and in a SE direction....weird!!

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A complete fizzog, not any

Thu, 2012-02-02 12:30

A complete fizzog, not any worse than a normal winter front is.

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SES are saying 100-120km

Thu, 2012-02-02 12:52

SES are saying 100-120km winds... geez we had easterlies as strong as that a week ago :)

 

Storm front to cross perth 5pm tonight

 

 

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 yeah it seems gale force to

Thu, 2012-02-02 13:18

 yeah it seems gale force to the north east side of the eye, but ourside not as bad.

US navy still has it at 35~50knots wind and gusting.

 

so yes it will be like a bad blowy winter storm, just hotter and wtter and a real chance of tornadoes and hail if it gets hot air up high enough!!!

 

wonder how the new houses built between Cervantees and Jurien will hold up, quiet a few on stilts and well above the wind shear line, so no protection from the sand dunes!!!

 

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Tony Halliday's picture

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 well 45knots already off

Thu, 2012-02-02 13:20

 

well 45knots already off Gero!

 

 

www.seabreeze.com.au/graphs/wa3.asp

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)