More cyclones

Cyclone  Anthony on the east coast and one forming off the west coast.

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snappermiles's picture

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well they did predict

Sun, 2011-01-23 19:45

 a big season!! not that we have got much out of them up karratha way! a bit more rain would be nice

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Rain

Sun, 2011-01-23 19:48

We got absolutely flogged camping on Friday night, massive storm worked us.  Has been raining on and off all the time in Exxy, very unusual summer and the humidity has been around 70% every day and unpleasant.  Don't know if this cyclone will get up much steam, but looks to be heading straight for us.

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woody's picture

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Haha Adam, so did I...

Mon, 2011-01-24 00:19

Haha Adam, so did I... camping down at Warroora.... in my swag!! Bucketed down!!

mitch's picture

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 went to a bucks party at

Mon, 2011-01-24 12:50

 went to a bucks party at gracies tav in exxie friday night ..yep yep surely pissed down for an hour or so .was hopeing for a bit more to keep me stuck in town ..but no .drove back to vagas saturday lunch time ...spewn

got some good fishing in ,,and good waves if only small ones ,,,water temp when fishing in the gulf was 31.5 c.took the dogs for a swim at town beach .it was farking horrible ,,must of been around 35c in the shallows .like swimming in hot soup

Bodie's picture

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yep this next one off WA

Mon, 2011-01-24 08:19

yep this next one off WA looks like its going to be nice and close to the coast!

carnarvonite's picture

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Cat 3

Mon, 2011-01-24 08:36

Is expected to be a cat 3 by the time it reaches Exmouth according to bloke from Bom on radio this morning.

Tony Halliday's picture

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watching the water temps is

Mon, 2011-01-24 09:06

watching the water temps is more scary, we still 3 deg hotter in water temps off Exmouth to Shark bay than have been seen for over 20 yrs or more.

 

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/climate/indicator_sst.jsp?c=ssta

this could be a bumper cyclone year!   good for the farmers and rain fall, but cr@p for everyone else.

 

only bright side could be a huge year for dollies and game fish on our side of the world in Feb / March

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Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

marble's picture

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 Lets hope BOM got it right

Mon, 2011-01-24 12:55

 

Lets hope BOM got it right and it slides on past

Colour Forecast map for next 4 days

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Tony Halliday's picture

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other sites are showing it

Mon, 2011-01-24 13:11

other sites are showing it hitting Exmouth and then curling around to die off Geraldton later off shore.

see here.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/aus.pw.html

 

ps red circles = you in awhole world of wet!!!! pretty much the centre of the low pressure cell, be it cyclone or tropical low form!

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Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

PJAY's picture

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thats the last thing

Mon, 2011-01-24 13:30

thats the last thing Queensland wants too???

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Brucesta's picture

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please leave the roads open

Mon, 2011-01-24 13:31

please leave the roads open for me, i don't feel like another inland drive, especially with the new boat in tow as well :(

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carnarvonite's picture

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When

Mon, 2011-01-24 13:49

When are you driving back up? Would expect you have until Thursday at the latest then its pay a visit to Meeka time.

Brucesta's picture

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hoping that they call work

Tue, 2011-01-25 10:13

hoping that they call work off on thursday and we'll shoot down ASAP, miss the storm and come back friday/saturday it seems

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allrounder's picture

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If i remember correctly the last time we had the water temps

Mon, 2011-01-24 13:49

 and the marlin season down here it was 1999 when Vance hit up exmouth.I just hope it was a once off as a few of my old fav dive spots have just started to look normal again just minus a few plate coralsI would hate to lose it all again.I think there maybe some hatches that need battening down.

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Cyclone Bianca forming up off

Mon, 2011-01-24 16:38

Cyclone Bianca forming up off the top now, should be called into category 1 sometime in the next 24 hours.

 

Cheers

Dale

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fishintruckie's picture

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Starting to look like another

Mon, 2011-01-24 20:54

Starting to look like another wet trip to Broome and Derby. I think I might pack a bottle of Jacks and a few steaks just in case I get rained in somewhere.

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About to head off to work

Tue, 2011-01-25 04:45

About to head off to work here in K-town, and it's looking like the best morning in months for a fish. It's perfectly still, sky is clear and it's really sticky , the calm before the storm.

Hope you guys down in Exxy get a break and it dies in the arse or goes out to sea, either way I think a trip to the Bottle'o is in order !!

Bodie's picture

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Now saying cat 3 directly off

Tue, 2011-01-25 07:26

Now saying cat 3 directly off K town, and has lined up exmouth

Tony Halliday's picture

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I think it's going to just

Tue, 2011-01-25 07:37

I think it's going to just miss off the coast of Exmouth ( side swipe the place on the way by) and then turn south to kick Coral Bay in the guts, as the water is nice and warm coming down that way!

I hope I'm wrong and it goes off to the west and far away...

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Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

marble's picture

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 Looks pretty good ??? 

Wed, 2011-01-26 20:51

 

Looks pretty good ???

 

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Tony Halliday's picture

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yip missing us off the north

Thu, 2011-01-27 07:51

yip missing us off the north west coast is a good thing, tose folks off Carnavon have had a rough start to the year and need the break.

 

I wonder if it will come down south now as a tropical low and give us a good showering??

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

tailor marc's picture

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Heading for another repeat of

Thu, 2011-01-27 09:44

Heading for another repeat of the 1978 disarster? Taking the same path....

http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/wa/alby.shtml

 

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Tony Halliday's picture

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yes you could be

Thu, 2011-01-27 09:52

yes you could be right!!!

almost identical to cyclone Alby's track down south! Bom 4 day shows it coming all the way down and being about 500km off the coast by the weekend.

USA tracking site predicts it a lot closer to our shores, more like 100~200km off shore!

mmm can see myself having to tie down the yard tomorrow if it comes our way!

Funny how the news channels etc have  not latched onto it yet as a story with all the hype and scare that Channel 7 and 9 love to do!!!!

 

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Bodie's picture

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K-town had 100ml Rain in last

Thu, 2011-01-27 10:17

K-town had 100mm Rain in last 24 hours.

 

Place must be like a mud pit!

crasny1's picture

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Surprisingly Bodie

Thu, 2011-01-27 11:43

Not realy looking that bad. I have never seen the hills look so "clean" with all the red dirt washed of the vegetation. Was blowing a nasty little blow just before the all clear and it bucketed down. Have to admit I was a little surprised then when the all clear was given but a good call.

The boat must have had about 2-300l of water in it. Left the scuppers closed and then internal cabin bung out so that she would fill and stay heavy but it was a laugh opening her up.

hey all K-town, check out the weekend weather. Looks like a post cyclone fish is certainly on.

http://wind.willyweather.com.au/wa/pilbara/dampier-archipelago.html

Neels

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Lastchance's picture

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Hell yeah!

Thu, 2011-01-27 12:10

Fishing action on Saturday for sure!

tailor marc's picture

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Looks like perth has copped a

Thu, 2011-01-27 10:29

Looks like perth has copped a few since 1906.

  http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/silo/cyclones.cgi?region=aus&syear=1906&eyear=2006&loc=0

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Simo_'s picture

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looks like someone left the

Fri, 2011-01-28 16:35

looks like someone left the crayons out, what a mess lol

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Tony Halliday's picture

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whats a worry as well,  but

Thu, 2011-01-27 11:36

whats a worry as well,  but not for us the movement of TC Anthony inland and into a wet and soggy Queenland by the look of it, also that TC Wilma is heading straight down to New Zealand as well and could hit Norfolk Island with some wild weather as it slides by.

I can't remember when last I saw three strong TC cells on one weatehr map and all heading south west.

 

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDQ20064.txt

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Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

crasny1's picture

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Yes Tony

Thu, 2011-01-27 11:53

Unusual and I am sure we have not seen the last big willy willy for the season. Agree bloody hot water to feed the monsters, and I am sure all will go to Severe TC's.

Neels

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"I would like to die on Mars. Just not on impact!!" _ Elon Musk

Tony Halliday's picture

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Some Notable Cyclones

Thu, 2011-01-27 12:03

 

did a bit of searching and found we been hit almost every 10 to 15 years with a big blower coming south.

what is scary is the prediction of the cylones accelerating as they come south up to 70km/hr forward velocity ( not wind) vs the normal 10~20km/hr movement seen in the tropics.

 

http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/wa/perth.shtml

 

go to the very bottom of the page for the table of blowers that have been our way!

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Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

carnarvonite's picture

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Tugs

Thu, 2011-01-27 12:51

There are 5 vessels inside the Carnarvon harbour and another 3 anchored outside waiting to see where it heads once passed Exmouth. Had to take the rescue boat out to bring a sick seaman in to hospital from one of the tugs that was too big to come in. They said there was as many as 15-18 boats coming down the coast last night to shelter here or in the bay further south.

Tony Halliday's picture

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http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDW

Thu, 2011-01-27 13:06

http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDW60280.gif?1296100752682

 

latest bom tracking shows it turning back to the east a lot closer than Alby did, this one could be right up against the coast line by sunday!

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

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Tis that time of year!!

Thu, 2011-01-27 14:41

good luck with em people!!

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FEEEISH ONNN!!!

Tony Halliday's picture

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thats almost a mirror of TC

Thu, 2011-01-27 15:41

thats almost a mirror of TC Alby!!!!

 

I guess we better start cleaning up the yards tomorrow and watch this bugger like a hawk!

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Tony Halliday's picture

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Date Joined: 14/06/07

http://www.bom.gov.au/product

Fri, 2011-01-28 09:36

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml

 

now being shown as possible cat 1 off the Busselton coast by sunday, with probability area as high as Perth!!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?SIZE=full&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=sh&ATCF_YR=2011&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2011/sh102011.11012718.gif&CURRENT=20110128.0000.meteo7.x.ir1km_bw.10SBIANCA.90kts-956mb-222S-1116E.100pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&CURRENT_ATCF=sh102011.11012718.gif&ATCF_NAME=sh102011&ATCF_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2011&ACTIVES=11-SHEM-08P.WILMA,11-SHEM-09P.ANTHONY,11-SHEM-10S.BIANCA,11-SHEM-90P.INVEST&MO=JAN&STYLE=tables&YEAR=2011&YR=11&BASIN=SHEM&STORM_NAME=10S.BIANCA&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc11/SHEM/10S.BIANCA/ir/geo/1km_bw&TYPE=ssmi&PROD=gif

 

with BOM and US Navy showing it coming to visit the big smoke of Perth by the 30th possibly as a tropical low, the question now is how much punch will it have left in the tank?

 

will it refuel on warm water off Shark Bay and get some more energy to remain a Cat1 when it gets to us or burn out and just be a big gail with some rain???

Seems I was right in that it could be repeat of TC Ned in 1989 that came through just south of Perth.

 

The big question is how are houses built since the 1980's that don't have the cyclone strength of places in the north of the state going to hold out??? plus will storm surges come with it??? if so hello wet floors in the canal areas.

I'm glad I moved to the hills

 

UPDATE:  them canal developments down south are going to be challenged by a storm surge!

 

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

tailor marc's picture

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(No subject)

Fri, 2011-01-28 09:56

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MattMiller's picture

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Could be VERY

Fri, 2011-01-28 10:11

interesting down here in Geographe Bay.

Shorty's picture

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The last cyclone that hit was

Fri, 2011-01-28 12:00

The last cyclone that hit was Alby in 78 and wrecked the Busso jetty,,it was only the tail end of it as well,,

 

Now they have just about finished doing a rebuild on the jetty, i am glad its a lot stronger these days,,

fishyink's picture

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Round 2 for the busso jetty u

Fri, 2011-01-28 15:51

Round 2 for the busso jetty u reckon shorty ?

saterdays wether looks prety sweet though, pety im working =(

tailor marc's picture

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2 knot winds at 8:30 pm sat

Fri, 2011-01-28 15:55

2 knot winds at 8:30 pm sat night!! I will be fishin :)

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Elora Danan's picture

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Landbase.

Fri, 2011-01-28 15:58

Could it be worth some landbase Pinks early?

tailor marc's picture

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Just after i recon

Fri, 2011-01-28 16:01

Just after i recon

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Elora Danan's picture

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Guess I will be perched on a

Fri, 2011-01-28 16:24

Guess I will be perched on a groyne with a wetsuit on and waiting.

tailor marc's picture

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Big front coming fron the

Fri, 2011-01-28 16:04

Big front coming fron the south , just like Alby...

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDE00902.loop.shtml

 

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Tony Halliday's picture

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yip you right there

Fri, 2011-01-28 16:18

yip you right there mate!

could also push that puffer up a bit more and nearer to Perth

 

Alby was made worse by the cold jetstream interacting with the wamr moist cyclone conditions.

 

whats more the boys in the long white cloud, NZ, have the same, but worse with TC Wylma coming in from the top and a massive antartic front from under them as well.

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

carnarvonite's picture

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Alby

Fri, 2011-01-28 17:07

Remember Alby well. Was driving up Parade road when Forrest drive in  decided to lose all the sheeting, started with a couple  of sheets in the middle  and within 30 seconds it was all flying off like confetti. Earlier in the day it took us 2 .5 hours to drive from Newlands south of Donnybrook to Bunbury with tree branches all over the road

Tony Halliday's picture

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well folks hold onto your

Sun, 2011-01-30 06:53

well folks hold onto your nikers

latest forcast shows it coming straight into Perth tonight as a strong tropical low to Cat1 strength.

Well there goes my quiet nights sleep

 

www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Silk200611's picture

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Im not a weather man but im

Sun, 2011-01-30 07:27

Im not a weather man but im thinking that it will fizzle out by the time gets to us her in Perth...

Australian Region image

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Silk I agree

Sun, 2011-01-30 08:14

Silk I agree, its already changed to a Low. It doesnt look like we will get much although there is a bit of a breeze around so some gusty winds of a tropicl Low I think.  As long as that wind blows in some much needed rain - pleeeeeeeaaasssse!!!

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Jenny

Tony Halliday's picture

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yeah we really need the rain

Sun, 2011-01-30 17:31

yeah we really need the rain with our paddocks bone dry and bare

I'm still hopping it brings good thunder shower tonight. Tried the weather radar but both in Perth are down

Also now I got o go untie everything I tied down and move all the trailers, floats and cars back to their normal spots

At least it gave me a reason to clean up some of the cr@p lying around lol

____________________________________________________________________________

Tony Halliday: ~Meals on Reels ~

 It takes a strong fish to swim against the current. Even a dead one can float with it

"It is always in season for old men to learn." Aeschylus (525-456 BC)

"In a mad world only the mad are sane." Akira Kurosawa (1910-1998)

Reefmonkey's picture

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Tides in!

Sun, 2011-01-30 19:18

Drivin past hillarys an hour ago and pulled in for a look,the ramp finger jetties where a foot or so beneath the water. Also one car and trailer in the carpark still not in yet... fisherman1992 perhaps???

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 Dave J.

Bodie's picture

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unfortunately QLD is going to

Mon, 2011-01-31 18:40

unfortunately QLD is going to get smoked by a possible cat 4+ cyclone TC YASI said to hit between cairns and townsville early thursday morning, but will affect between cooktown and yeppoon

 

Said to be bigger and nastier than the last major cyclone in either 2006 or 2008 TC  Larry